The business dynamics of Midstream Energy Companies
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Here is an excellent treatise on what are the key concepts in Midstream Energy companies, their revenue base, moats they enjoy and the risks they face... Main points are from Morning Star Research Analyst Joe Gemino, CPA
The midstream industry processes, stores, markets and
transports commodities such as crude oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids
(NGLs, mainly ethane, propane and butane) and sulphur. The midstream links remote
petroleum producing areas and the consumers are located. Transmission pipeline
companies such as Enbridge, Transcanada Corp, Pembina Pipeline Corp are some of
the main players in the midstream petroleum industry. Not surprisingly, most midstream
companies are based in Calgary with operations extending to east coast and into
the United States. They also lead to exporting terminals.
Revenue Stream
Companies in the midstream energy sector normally generate
predictable revenue streams (toll like charges), cash flows and distributions
from the gathering, processing and transportation of crude oil,natural gas and
other energy commodities.
Pipeline projects are linked to new production growth
projects, and contracts extend over the life of the associated production
project.
Regulators in Canada and the U.S. permit pipeline companies
to recover costs to operate pipeline networks by collecting tolls for services.
Regulated tolls include the recovery of the pipeline’s investment, a rate of
return on the investment, and pipeline operating costs. The regulatory
oversight provides stability in returns that typically exceed the company’s
cost of capital. As a result, pipelines generate new project returns on equity
that typically range from low double digits to mid-teens
Moat
Canada’s oil sands supply is landlocked and separated from
the majority of its refining markets by large distances, relying on pipeline
transportation
Pipelines are characterized by relatively high barriers to
entry, high capital costs, and significant regulatory oversight.
There are multiple
ways for midstream companies to build moats, but efficient scale is the
dominant source. Single pipelines can be attractive; however, a network of
pipelines that serve multiple end markets and are supplied by multiple
producing regions is much more valuable. Because oil and gas are fungible,
midstream firms can optimize the flow of hydrocarbons across their systems to
meet producer or end-user demand while locking in geographic price
differentials, or use storage facilities tied to the network to lock in price
differentials across time periods.
Regulatory approvals are granted only when an economic need
for pipelines exist and does not permit oversupply. As such, regulation keeps
out competitors and acts as an intangible asset to existing pipeline operations.
Once approval is received, midstream firms typically seek to lock in project
economics through long-term contracts with shippers before ever breaking ground
on a new project, ensuring that at a minimum project and capital costs are
recouped, with potential for excess returns over time.
While the competition among midstream firms for new projects
is fierce due to the finite demand for additional infrastructure, once a
pipeline is in service it tends to enjoy excess returns.
Risks
The profitability of midstream companies is not directly
tied to commodity prices, as pipeline transportation costs are not tied to the price
of natural gas and crude oil. However, the cyclical supply and demand nature of
commodities and related pricing can have an indirect impact on the business as shippers
may choose to accelerate or delay certain projects. This can affect the timing
for the demand of transportation services and/or new gas pipeline infrastructure
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